EXPLAINED: Pakistan’s road to Champions Trophy 2025 semi-finals

Pakistan’s chances of qualifying for the semi-finals of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 have been dealt a major setback following their 60-run defeat to New Zealand in the tournament opener at the National Stadium, Karachi.

The loss has left fans eager to understand how Mohammad Rizwan’s side can still progress to the knockout stage.

Must-win clash against India

Pakistan will face arch-rivals India in a high-stakes encounter in Dubai on February 23. A defeat in this fixture could all but end their campaign. To stay in contention, the Green Shirts must secure victories in their remaining group-stage matches against both India and Bangladesh.

Even with two wins, Pakistan’s qualification could depend on net run rate (NRR). If three teams in the group finish with identical records, NRR will determine which sides advance to the semi-finals.

New Zealand dominates opener

Earlier, New Zealand, led by centuries from Tom Latham and Will Young, posted 320-5 in 50 overs after being put in to bat. Pakistan’s chase fell short at 260 in 47.2 overs, with Will O’Rourke (3-47), Mitchell Santner (3-66), and Matt Henry (2-25) dismantling the batting lineup.

As Pakistan prepares for their crucial clash against India, the team will have little margin for error, knowing that any slip-up could spell the end of their Champions Trophy journey.